Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 135.916970 149.531046 163.478068 178.807123 195.154322 212.038676 230.768567
2025-01-26 115.185377 135.626044 157.565745 182.747553 210.731909 240.759742 275.297100
2025-02-02 98.946411 124.227052 152.561291 186.374504 225.326280 268.496916 319.658901
2025-02-09 86.765877 115.684275 149.412911 191.090791 240.629315 297.064818 365.633520
2025-02-16 76.794964 108.392908 146.641441 195.423471 255.038085 324.594580 410.918986
2025-02-23 63.839902 95.835006 136.125511 189.224673 255.966204 335.709060 436.750839
2025-03-02 54.409292 86.651601 128.795272 186.035967 259.825960 349.857542 466.012620
2025-03-09 47.855440 80.532415 124.730204 186.403925 267.695101 368.692178 501.014715
2025-03-16 42.854834 75.984334 122.247824 188.416220 277.388738 389.715430 538.875098
2025-03-23 40.105907 74.380095 123.556954 195.352069 293.482778 418.991163 587.463796
2025-03-30 36.850923 71.626029 122.934096 199.414275 305.669499 443.322888 630.060472
2025-04-06 32.604955 66.832569 118.932203 198.382467 310.728638 458.280226 660.697050
2025-04-13 28.753345 62.335405 115.134268 197.540244 316.145004 474.045035 693.050298
2025-04-20 27.083839 61.354273 116.600803 204.359197 332.352449 504.475575 745.145330
2025-04-27 25.257107 59.889845 117.172259 209.797840 346.688997 532.621445 794.674208
2025-05-04 23.722962 58.770750 118.165890 215.814244 361.900164 562.138032 846.398475
2025-05-11 22.175737 57.444238 118.692392 221.056217 376.039850 590.365666 896.758306
2025-05-18 18.730041 51.980955 111.910993 214.559316 372.736625 594.326975 914.326204
2025-05-25 16.215525 48.019275 107.341141 211.226020 373.841149 604.260127 939.965177
2025-06-01 14.543463 45.595977 105.258085 211.721478 380.576394 622.109392 976.580009
2025-06-08 13.277201 43.888683 104.316047 213.981386 389.956332 643.780083 1018.674448
2025-06-15 12.799395 43.936608 106.582872 221.616299 407.693850 677.623599 1078.043459
2025-06-22 11.969736 43.033611 106.988940 226.085073 420.579533 704.623278 1128.138946